Quote:
Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist
Even if those are the actual odds it's a dumb bet to make. Way too much chance of randomness happening in 10 games. Flames could play like crap but fluke out enough wins or play great but get stoned by great goaltending.
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You should take bets where the odds are in your favour, even if they are uncertain. It's like corsi's signature, I would take that bet (45% on a coin flip) even if you only offered it to me once. There are a number of theories on how much to bet in circumstances like that, the most famous is the kelly criterion.