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Old 03-23-2015, 11:17 AM   #1213
heep223
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Quote:
Originally Posted by polak View Post
What happened in the past has zero bearing on how the teams in the stretch drive are going to play.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root View Post
I think it will take at least 97. The fact that it has never happened before is irrelevant.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Oling_Roachinen View Post
While I agree that if the Flames get 96 points they very likely make the playoffs, using historical data and benchmarks may not be the best reasoning. Tank nation going on between Buffalo, Arizona, Edmonton, Carolina and Toronto has skewed the results.

If you look at the 2011-2012 season, for example, Columbus finished last with 65 points. If the tankers keep up their current paces (Toronto with 5 points in their last 10 etc.) the only team that would beat that threshold is Carolina. The bottom feeders are simply terrible this year and that means more points distributed between the higher ranking teams.
All great points, particularly the latter re: tank nation. I still do think 96 will get in though, with the tiebreak.

Either way we can look back at this in a few weeks and see!
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