I think if they win 3 of the next 4 then they're right on track. Win 4 of 4 and they're laughing.
There will be dips and jumps all throughout the season. Minimize the dips, ride the jumps. No matter how the next 4 games go, though, the Flames will have to pull out a win against some hot teams like Nashville, St. Louis and the not as hot but always dangerous LA. And it shouldn't be any other way. Those are going to be the teams to beat in the playoffs and it's only fitting you need a couple wins against them to make it there.
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