Quote:
Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist
Yes, but not of you exclude "score effects". It's well established that teams trailing by more than one goal really rack up the shot attempts in order to get closer and leading teams sit back and prevent quality chances
The chart that CorsiHockeyLeague posts uses Fenwick Close which is unblocked shot attempts while the game is within one goal. There won't be much data for that game included because Calgary was up so early. Maybe 5-10 minutes of data. Interestingly, Fenwick Close had stronger predictor power than corsi
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
Correct. The chart shows that Toronto came out strong in the first 5 minutes, followed by a flurry from the Flames leading to a goal. The Flames then continued to press, but shortly after there is a bunch of PP time, and by the time that sequence was done the game was effectively over.
Everything after is what we refer to as "garbage time" - i.e., a bunch of game time during which the data isn't particularly useful because the score is so lopsided, which impacts how teams play in a significant way.
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That makes sense. So when I see for example the TSN power rankings, and they list the team's Corsi% and reference it (ie. The Flames have a Corsi of 43%), wouldn't that be kind of misleading then, based on what you're describing above?