Quote:
Originally Posted by fuffalo
I believe your signature is an attempt to explain to people who want to say "See! This goes against statistics, so statistics are wrong!"
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It's meant to address people who seem to think that anyone who thinks analytics or the statistics they rely on are valuable must somehow think they're the only thing that matters and a complete code to understanding what happens on the ice.
This sentence misses the point spectacularly: "Statistics are suggesting that you are most likely to come out ahead. Because you aren't betting an infinite number of times you could still indeed come out losing money."
Yes. Exactly. That's the whole point. You
can still lose. You're just trying to give yourself an
improved chance of winning long-term. Tools do not need to be perfect to be worth using.