I dunno, I just did a quick look, and from 2001 to 2010 I found about 30 good NHLers picked between spots 45 and 60.
That's 30 out of 150 draft picks....so 1/5 chance at a good NHLer....
If it was a higher 2nd rounder (like the one Kipper was traded for), I'd guess the odds would be better.
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