I'll take the 50%. Here's my reasoning:
- 50% chance he comes to Calgary. This, in combination with Monahan, makes an insane 1/2 centre combination and honestly makes the entire team look nuts.
- 25% chance he goes to Edmonton and nothing comes out of it. He's good but I don't think he's good enough to carry an entire roster worth of Oiler stink.
- 25% chance he goes to Vancouver and they might do alright. Their prospect pool is pretty weak and I'm not sure they can generate a good support team for him 5 years from now without the aid of a sudden rebuild.
Neither of the consequences seem absolutely dire...best case scenario, the Flames have McDavid/Gaudreau/Monahan/Bennnet running the team and worst case scenario seems to be fairly middling divisional rivals unless the Canucks go for broke.
Edit -
Quote:
If you do take the 50% shot at what percentage would you say it's not worth it?
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Probably around 25-30%.