03-09-2015, 07:11 PM
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#26
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addition by subtraction
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Tulsa, OK
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pylon
I really wish advanced stats would just get launched right into the sun.
You will never be able to generate a stat that measures team chemistry and work ethic. Advanced stat 'gurus' write every team that bucks the trend as an anomaly, and every team that happens to fall into the framework of the stats as a proven example. Duh, that's exactly how life is. Sometimes there is exceptions to the rule for unquantifiable reasons.
If advanced stats applied in real life, then only University educated people with IQ's over 130 should be wealthy. Well there are thousands of high school drop outs that buck that trend and become highly successful entrepreneurs because of work ethic and desire.
The stats only tell a tiny part of the story, and I truly believe some of these advanced stats guys, don't even like hockey, they just get a giant boner staring at an excel spread sheet, look at soulless numbers preying something in them confirms they are right, so they can froth at the mouth smashing the words "I told you so!" into their keyboards. They might as well just build paper rosters, and cheer for the piece of paper, and the piece of paper with the best calculation is awarded the Stanley Cup. That's what they seem to want.
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the bolded part reminded me of a story i read on 538 the other day.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/w...yball-metrics/
Quote:
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Neil, my favorite little tidbit from the the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference was the fact that each day, all the stats nerds streamed into the building toward panel discussions about sports analytics, waltzing right past actual sports! There was a massive regional volleyball tournament taking place in the same building, and as far as I could tell, no one stopped to check it out. And, honestly, part of me thinks that it could have been an NFL game and people would have still hustled upstairs to talk about sports rather than just watch them. There was a panel discussion called Is Analytics Taking the Fun Out of Sports. This felt like a nice parallel to that idea.
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