Quote:
Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist
Seriously? I respect you as a poster, but that might be the dumbest argument yet. If a predictive probability is 80% yet you get a negative answer it's the same as 50%?
I hope you don't gamble
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So if you had at your disposal a tool with a predictive probability of 90%, you'd rather use a predictive tool with a probability of 80%??
I hope you don't gamble.
Graphic/analysis courtesy of thehockeywriters.com not me.
As clearly can be seen Goal differential in the regular season is more predictive then corsi at detemining who makes the playoffs, who makes the second round, who makes the third round, who makes the finals AND who wins the stanley cup.
So through all their fancy math these stat guys have managed to concoct a new method of predicting things, which sadly isn't even as good as a old one.