Quote:
Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist
Take the half way point of the season, say January 8th
Here's your top 10 Corsi 5v5 teams:
LA
TB
CHI
DET
NYI
NSH
MIN
BOS
WPG
FLA
By using this metric to simply determine who's going to make the playoffs, we'd be at least 80% correct with a good chance of 90%
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Of the 16 teams who were in a playoff position on January 8, 14 are still in a playoff position (Calgary and Minnesota are the only two who were on the outside then who are in now). It's likely that 14 or 15 of the teams who were in a playoff position on January 8 will make the playoffs (San Jose is likely to drop out for Minnesota, and Calgary may bounce out LA, Winnipeg, or Vancouver).
That's 87.5 - 93.75% accuracy, so why bother trying to find some other solution, when the most basic formula already exists and is at least as accurate?