Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
As I said earlier, that also occurred to me, so I asked Micah about that and he said, first, that he had a separate version of the model that does include some special teams data, but that the predictive benefit of adding it was minor (2+ seasons of sample to add value). Any other tinkering with the model seemed to do more harm than good (I also asked him about factoring in CHIP but he says this just mucked things up), so this is where he landed. It isn't perfect, as should be evident by looking at Minnesota's trend line.
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I guess this is part of the issue with the model though (and any model for that matter). For most teams, maybe adding special teams doesn't make a big difference. But the Flames have allowed something like 2 or 3 PPG against in their last 15 or so games (sorry, don't have the time to look up the actual stats). So, while in general adding the special teams doesn't seem to add value for the model overall, it could greatly affect a team or two, such as the Flames.