I was going to share my thoughts a bit earlier, but haven't found the time to finish it up and it is still EXTREMELY raw in numbers. This thread's idea resonates with what my theory was based on, so I think it's appropriate to share.
I apologize to the people who hate advanced stats. Don't click the link if you don't want to read about numbers...
Theory
I'd love to hear some feedback from some people if they get a chance to read it!