Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
I think the column labeled "reliability" there contradicts that. You were right earlier when you said the predictive power is by no means staggering; it's just better than everything else.
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Goal differential is a better predictor.
Perhaps one team a year with a negative goal differential makes the playoffs. So yes, you can use smaller sample sizes to predict with it, just like you can with small corsi sample sizes.
Goal differential is just far more accurate.
As has been echoed a thousand times here, by many. You are far less likely to win being consistently out shot and outplayed. There is nothing advanced about that. But far more teams will make the playoffs who fall into this category that will make it when they are consistently outscored.