Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
I think the column labeled "reliability" there contradicts that. You were right earlier when you said the predictive power is by no means staggering; it's just better than everything else.
|
Lots of holes to be poked in corsi, which again doesn't mean it's useless, also doesn't make it as strong as Lambert or the other opinion guys would suggest.
I did some analysis on Dec 1st as the Flames were below 45% Corsi 5v5 mark and a blogger suggested it was "impossible to make the playoffs" below 45%.
14 teams were below that mark by Dec 1st since shot attempts started being tracked ('06/'07. Ignored lockout season as there was no hockey be Dec 1st). That's the bottom 14 teams of 270 teams. That's the bottom 5% of corsi 5v5. Yet somehow, 4 of those 14 still made the playoffs (28% or almost a third).
This tells us again that while Elite teams always have great corsi and terrible teams always have terrible corsi, the reverse isn't true.