Quote:
Originally Posted by EldrickOnIce
Goal differential is about 90% predictor. it terms of statistics, that is a remarkable difference.
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In what sense is it a predictor? If I take goal differential at the ten game mark, will it help me figure out who will make the playoffs this year? How about the 20 game mark? How about next year?
This chart demonstrates usefulness and reliability of different stats in predicting wins and losses.
EDIT: from Steve Burtch's article here -
http://www.pensionplanpuppets.com/20...-blocked-shots
I kind of suspect that what you mean when you say "90% predictor" is that if you look at the standings at the end of the year, there's a 90% chance that if you're in the top 16 in goal differential you'll make the playoffs. That's not any more useful than saying that a team's win loss record is a 100% predictor of whether they make the playoffs. It's rear-view-mirror stuff.