Quote:
Originally Posted by Textcritic
I agree completely. But that still means that he will close the gap—if even only a little—on Monahan. So, instead of appearing as though he is completely out of Monahan's league as a player, it is not unreasonable to expect that he will look better compared to Monahan than he does now.
But yeah, I don't want anyone to misconstrue what I am saying: Horvat is nowhere near as good a player as Monahan—and he likely never will be.
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In the 12 months before their 19th birthdays:
Monahan: 31G 47A 78P with Ottawa
Horvat...: 30G 44A 74P with London
In the 12 months before their 20th birthdays:
Monahan: 22G 12A 34P with Calgary
Horvat...: 12G 12A 24P with Vancouver (at his current pace)
Monahan is pulling ahead.
Then, in the year before his 21st birthday, Monahan has increased his production by 56% on a PPG basis.
So in order for Horvat to not fall behind even more next year, he would have to produce at a 46 PPG pace.
Do you seriously expect that from him?
If not, he will continue to fall even further behind Monahan, correcting for age.