Quote:
Originally Posted by Quincy Egg
I'll take examples of sample size for $200, Alex.
The decline will happen this season, or in the 2015/16 season (assuming the possession numbers are similar.) Like it or not, there is a strong correlation between success and possession numbers.
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Is this back to the whole Toronto and Colorado thing again?
Toronto failed not because of possession numbers or advanced stats decline but when they had the good year they had a rotten blueline a defensively substandard forward group and got ungodly goaltending
They failed the next year because their goaltending fell back to nornal.
Colorado last year received unbelievable all world goaltending which disguised a poor blueline, and they got a lot of scoring. This year the goaltending wasn't as good and they got exposed.
I would argue that The Flames shouldn't be a victim of the same decline because they're team is more balanced from the start, they have strong two way forwards and a decent defensive core and don't need to depending on god goaltending every night.
PDO was designed to value a team like the Detroit Redwings who play a possession game, the Flames don't follow the game plan so their possession numbers are lower.
Again, there's no correlation unless you look at the make up of the team, the game plan and the unusual factors like goaltenders that normally wouldn't have superstar seasons having superstar seasons.