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Old 02-23-2015, 12:35 PM   #511
CorsiHockeyLeague
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^Can't recall a long list, but Grabovski was there and is probably at least as good as Bonino. Query whether he'd sign a one year deal. But the point is, if you've got 6 million bucks and you're smart about it you can find an asset who belongs in your top 6F/4D. Ehrhoff signed for 1y/4m in Pittsburgh.

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Originally Posted by Loyal and True View Post
Most notably, the model ignores special teams
Indeed it does. He says, on this point, that he has a second model that incorporates special teams data (particularly shot generation and suppression data on PP / PK) that is slightly more accurate. However, the difference is minimal (i.e. it wouldn't show up over the remainder of the season according to him) that he publishes the chart without that stuff factored in.

It also apparently does not account for CHIP (cap hit of injured players), which I would think, intuitively, makes a big difference. We're just talking about Vancouver's injury troubles. I would think that missing your top pairing, starting goalie, a top six RW and both your second and third line center for any period of time would heavily impact your chances. However, it's really difficult to account for without throwing a wrench into the model that would make it worse.

It does, by the way, take into account opposition strength and home vs away.

Last edited by CorsiHockeyLeague; 02-23-2015 at 12:38 PM.
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