Sportsclubstats show the Flames with a better chance than Winnipeg due to games in hand and Winnipeg's brutal schedule.
The Flames' road trip makes the picture look murky though - they could make it in still with an "OK" record, but a poor run would leave the Flames relying on a collapse from 1 team above them. That could be Winnipeg, but then again, they could also be buyers at the deadline, as they need to make the playoffs to get the fanbase reignited
Flames current chances:
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/W...c/Calgary.html
Pace right now is 94 points (rounded down). Odds of making playoffs with 94 pts listed as mid-high 70s. Raise that to 96, odds jump to 95%
With the road trip coming up. The Flames need 8 points from 7 games to stay on pace (approx 1.15 pts/game = 94 point pace). They do better, then playoffs look like a safe bet. They do worse, then depending on how teams went around them, those last 16 games will need to be very strong