Quote:
Originally Posted by Quincy Egg
Calgary appears to have benefited a lot from luck going by their Corsi and Fenwick- pretty much parallels the Avs last season.
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Yeah, we discussed this in the other advanced stats thread, but most playoff teams will have higher Corsi/SAT numbers. Those that don't usually outscore or outsave their Corsi. Colorado last year did it through both. Montreal, who had a worse Corsi than the Avs, did it through Carey Price. The Flames are doing it this year through offence.
The Habs are actually the cautionary tale against regarding winning despite poor Corsi/Fenwick as being the result of "luck". The Avs and Habs were in the same place last year, but the analytics community allowed expectations to colour their view. They didn't expect Colorado to do well, so became offended when the Avs won their division. They did expect Montreal to do well (despite the stats), so were utterly silent about "luck".