Quote:
Originally Posted by Finger Cookin
Did the team inquire about Glencross? Yes - 50% No - 50%
If the team did inquire about Glencross, is it on his list? Yes - 20% (6/30) No - 80%
If the team didn't inquire, he doesn't get dealt.
If the team did inquire, but it's not on his list, he doesn't get dealt.
If the team did inquire, and it's on his list, what is that probability? 50% x 20% = 10%.
Again, that's just a very simple view, and doesn't account for the Flames contacting every team on his list or the fluidity of the situation. 
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Dude your math is so poor here that it would make the advanced stats crowd blush.
The correct way to look at it is this:
Assuming 15 teams out of 29 are interested, and Glencross is willing to go to any of the 6 teams on his list. If there is a match between Glencross' list and Treliving list then we have a trade. So essentially we can look at this problem as a pot with 29 balls, 15 of which are yes and 14 are no. Glencross picks 6 balls randomly. The only way he doesn't get traded is if all 6 balls read "no". Any other combination means he gets traded.
So the probability of all 6 balls reading no and him not getting traded is therefore calculated as such
(15/29)*(14/28)*(13/27)*(12/26)*(11/25)*(10/24) = 1%
Therefore the probability of him getting traded is equal to 99%.