Quote:
Originally Posted by Finger Cookin
Did the team inquire about Glencross? Yes - 50% No - 50%
If the team did inquire about Glencross, is it on his list? Yes - 20% (6/30) No - 80%
If the team didn't inquire, he doesn't get dealt.
If the team did inquire, but it's not on his list, he doesn't get dealt.
If the team did inquire, and it's on his list, what is that probability? 50% x 20% = 10%.
Again, that's just a very simple view, and doesn't account for the Flames contacting every team on his list or the fluidity of the situation.  |
i understand what you're saying but the likelihood of a trade is certainly over 50% with the way this situation's played out.
saying it won't because of the probability formula used above is a touch ridiculous.
In short, advanced stats suck again