Quote:
Originally Posted by Finger Cookin
Honestly, I'm surprised Glencross even gave a list. Even if nothing happens, this is good diligence by Treliving. And honestly, chances are low something will happen. If half the teams in the league have inquired about him and he'll accept a move to 6 (average of 5-7), a simple probability tree suggests there's a 10% chance of a deal. That's before things like asking price and offer price are considered.
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Not sure how you figure 10 percent.
Chances are, of the 15 teams that inquired about Glencross 12 or 13 of them will make the playoffs.
If he has a list of 6 teams, odds are 6 of them are of the 15 that inquired.
So, I'd put that at about 95 percent chance he's traded.