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Old 02-19-2015, 10:15 AM   #401
mrkajz44
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CaptainCrunch View Post
I'm still of the mindset that 94 to 95 points gets you into the playoffs. Right now LA is the second wildcard team on a 95 point pace.

If that plays out the Flames really need to find a 14 win equivalent over the last 24 games

that would actually give them 96 points, which should be safe considering the ROW stats.
Agreed - all this scoreboard watching is a waste of time, in my opinion. We just need to get to 96 points to be pretty much guaranteed a spot.

Sportsclub stats backs this up (over millions of simulations)

96 points = 95%
95 points = 90%
94 points = 79%
93 points = 63%
92 points = 46%

Basically get to 94 for a decent shot, and 96 to be virtually guaranteed. Everything else that happens with other teams is really just noise and we truly control our own destiny.
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