Quote:
Originally Posted by edslunch
Fair enough, but the Flames are only 3-1 in the shootout, thus a remarkable 7-2 in 4 on 4. The Flames proficiency at 4-4 - a situation that suits their style of play - isn't measured by 5v5 Corsi. Nor is their stellar penalty performance - while they are neither very good at PK nor great at PP, the differential in number of penalties taken gives them a significant special teams advantage.
|
Code:
All Situations (3640:56 TOI)
GF% - 52.6 FF% - 48.0 CF% - 47.4 PDO - 101.43
5v5 (2709:29 TOI)
GF% - 49.5 FF% - 45.5 CF% - 44.6 PDO - 101.12
5v5 Close (1655:00 TOI)
GF% - 42.7 FF% - 45.3 CF% - 44.8 PDO - 98.87
4v4 (94:36 TOI)
GF% - 69.2 FF% - 49.6 CF% - 46.9 PDO - 110.64
The 4v4 results are definitely not explained away completely by luck or randomness, but there are definitely some eye popping differences. Compared to basic 5v5, the CF is ~5% better, and the FF is ~10% better - but PDO is almost 10% better (thanks to a more than 100% increase in shoooting %) and the GF% is almost 40% better. Expecting to maintain that kind of success seems far fetched, regardless of how well the Flames style of play is suited to regular season OT.
With about 1/3 of the season left, the Flames can't expect to go 5-1 in OT/shootouts down the stretch because of our past results. I still will cheer for the Flames to somehow do so.