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EldrickOnIce · 02-12-2015, 01:54 PM

I think this is where we trot out the correlation does not equal causation, and re-inventing the wheel, etc.

Over that same time period, of those 128 teams(that Yost charts):

10 teams with a negative goal differential made the playoffs.

Unequivocally a far more accurate predictor of making the playoffs (compared to 38 negative corsi teams making it). Goal differential is 92% accurate for predicting, compared to 70% corsi predicting. And, it's a lot easier to glance at it and see what's what.

Also, 10 teams with a positive goal differential missed the playoffs. Seems it's about as certain a predictor as one can get.

Flames are +19, 11th in the league.

02-12-2015, 01:54 PM	#65
EldrickOnIce Franchise Player Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: Chicago Exp:	I think this is where we trot out the correlation does not equal causation, and re-inventing the wheel, etc. Over that same time period, of those 128 teams(that Yost charts): 10 teams with a negative goal differential made the playoffs. Unequivocally a far more accurate predictor of making the playoffs (compared to 38 negative corsi teams making it). Goal differential is 92% accurate for predicting, compared to 70% corsi predicting. And, it's a lot easier to glance at it and see what's what. Also, 10 teams with a positive goal differential missed the playoffs. Seems it's about as certain a predictor as one can get. Flames are +19, 11th in the league. Last edited by EldrickOnIce; 02-12-2015 at 02:04 PM.