This is from 2009, but it's interesting (before 'advanced stats' became the flavour of the day).
A regression analysis initially using PP%, PK%, 5 on 5 goals for and against, goals against per game, goals scored per game, shots per game and shots against per game.
The interesting part is the first thing the guy eliminated was shots for and against:
Quote:
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I was quickly able to eliminate the two shot categories thanks to their high P-values, leaving me with a formula with a r-squared of .843. Not too shabby. I was happy enough with this and decided to move forward. My formula is 22.771 + 0.714PP% + 0.480PK% + 23.960fiveonfive + 16.703 GPG -19.541 GAPG
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Would be an interesting comparison to the corsi based predictors.
http://www.dailyfaceoff.com/2438/a-n...t-team-success