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Old 02-12-2015, 10:15 AM   #292
mrkajz44
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Quote:
Originally Posted by troutman View Post
I like how MIN's and LA's odds dropped more than CGY's last night, with all three teams idle.

SJ has one more point than CGY, but odds are much worse at 58.6% < 84.1%.

They must have a killer schedule remaining?
In addition to what was already said, the weighted method uses goal differential as a strong predictor into who will more likely win any future matchups. Calgary has a GD of +19, while SJ is even. Therefore, the weighted method would show Calgary as earning more points than SJ, even if they had the exact same remaining schedule.

The 50/50 method takes away this weighting on GD and drops Calgary's chance of getting in, and increases the Sharks.
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