Very difficult trade to say who 'won' because there are so many unknown variables.
First, Kane is the best player in the trade, so there's that.
And IMO, Bogosian is the 2nd best. However, that is debatable. I think Bogosian is better than Myers right now, but Myers has more upside. Probably fair to say that they are a wash.
That means Kane for:
Armia, who could become a top 6 player and may be nothing.
Lemieux, a 2nd round pick whois putting up ok numbers, but a lot of people seem to like. How Button calls him guaranteed top 6 I will never know, but again, he's an unknown.
A late 1st. There's a decent chance that one of the Islanders or Blues makes the SCFs, and a very good chance that at least one of them is a division winner, so the pick is probably in the 27-30 range. So basically a 50-50 chance of a good player.
Stafford, a UFA who is probably worth a 3rd, maybe a 2nd at best.
So first the defensemen: either one of Bogosian or Myers could improve and tip the scales in favour of their team. But for now, they balance out.
So the question is: what does Wpg have with all these magic beans?
If they get 2 good players out of this, and Kane remains an inconsistent 25-3- goal scorer, Wpg looks really good.
However, it is entirely possible that they end up with nothing from those three futures.
So considering all that, I think it's a pretty even trade. Buffalo gave up a whole bunch of possibilities for a very talented head case. And the teams swapped under-achieving defensemen.
This will be a fun one to re-evaluate in 5 years.
|