Quote:
Originally Posted by Vinny01
Funny how some think since a guy was a top 5 pick and scored 30 once in his 6 years in the league he could be worth a 1st, good young roster player, and a top prospect.
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Who has said he's worth that? He's not. But he's also not the hot garbage a lot of folks here want to pretend he is.
Look, every deal is a risk. A GM looking at Kane might consider:
- 30 per cent chance he plays up to his full potential and becomes a 25-35 goal guy who brings physical play with a rare combination of strength and speed.
- 40 per cent chance he's an inconsistent guy who brings 15-25 goals a year and turns the intensity on and off (what he is now).
- 30 per cent chance he completely flakes out and plays himself off the team and the league in a few years.
Now, compare that to mid 1st round pick. The pick is probably even less likely to pan out. Compare it to prospects the team already has. A lot of teams don't have a single forward prospect with an odds profile better than Kane's.
There are a lot of teams Kane could go to where he would immediately be one of the top two or three assets under 24 years of age that they have.
Also, it's dumb that the fact Kane broke into the league as an 18 year old is being held against him. If he had taken a more conventional route and started in the NHL when he was 20 or 21, would his stats be regarded as more impressive? Again, the guy is one year older than Sven Baertschi.