Belichick did not outsmart Carroll, New England had a 12% win expectancy with second and goal from the 1 yard line and 55 or so seconds left. Had Seattle been smart and handed it to Lynch and he scores without timeouts, New England's win expectancy is 5% at 29 seconds. So by not calling timeouts Belichick literally decreased his teams chances of winning by more than half. He made a poor decision not calling the timeouts; thankfully for him Pete Carroll made an even poorer decision not running it and it bailed him out. These stats bear out what an awful decision it was to not run it
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HSAC @Harvard_Sports · 17 hrs 17 hours ago
The Pats allowed opponents to score 81% of the time in power situations (runs on 3rd/4th & <2, or w/i 2 yds of goalline). Dead last in NFL.
HSAC @Harvard_Sports · 17 hrs 17 hours ago
SEA was second in the league in power situations, getting stuffed just 17% of the time. Lynch converted 17 of 20 3rd/4ths & short this year.
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Pete Carroll simply overthought the situation. The good news for him is they won the Super Bowl last year or else he (and Wilson) would be getting roasted even more than they are.