Gaudreau is on pace for 63 points. Since 2008-9, no rookie has scored more than that. Two have equaled that (MacKinnon and Skinner).
That is a pretty good season, whether or not he wins the Calder.
Ekblad is on pace for 49 points which hasn't been done since Phaneuf in 2005-6.
Some players maintain their pace, some fall off, some get better as the season goes along. I suspect that how they finish the season will determine the Calder. Three or four have separated from the pack, now we have to see how they finish.
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