Quote:
Originally Posted by Tinordi
This isn't some unhinged opinion based on one year. The number of first round picks being swapped for rentals has declined as almost every GM had been forced to recognize the importance of the draft.
With that in mind how many injury prone 20 goal scorers with an NMC are traded for first rounders.
Sure, a GM may go crazy and offer a first. But that doesn't take away from looking at the evidence and concluding that it would be very unlikely.
Instead though we have one observation of a GM making a crazy trade in Berra and now we can just continually refer back to it like our wasn't a black swan.
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I guess if you ignore the other observations, you only have one.
Markets ebb and flow. As Bingo said, no one can be sure what the market will be like this year until we see it. But don't let that stop you from making definitive statements like you are so fond of doing.