Average point percentage of opponents left:
Calgary: 0.548
LA Kings: 0.576
SJ Sharks: 0.569
With LA having a lot more road games left (22 out of 35) and their abysmal road record they definitely have the hardest schedule left. They also have Toffoli out with mono for at least one more week and Pearson just had surgery for a broken leg so is probably out for the season. Inconsistent play is the most likely thing to cause a drop as earlier in the year they couldn't score but now they can't keep the puck out of their net.
San Jose has about the same home/road games left as us so there isn't an advantage there. However they just lost Braun who plays on their shutdown pair and Wingels for a few weeks. Wingels is about equivalent to us losing glencross production wise however Wingels is extremely physical so Couture and Marleau won't have as much space to work with anymore. Nieto seems to be taking his place too so that weakens what has been used as their shutdown line so far. While Braun has not been having the best season so far the sharks have abysmal depth so they will be forced to promote Irwin or Hannan into their top 4. Marleau is playing badly lately with 4 points in his last 17 (2 against Calgary) and a -9.
While it seems we have a slight advantage schedule wise so far and the injuries to San Jose could drop them in the standings its still too early to take much from this. These 3 teams have about 18 games left before the trade deadline so changes in the standings may effect things. However the LA Kings only have $1.8 in capspace so they are most likely to add a bottom pairing defenseman in case Voynov doesn't return.
San Jose has about $5.5 in capspace but their gm has stated that he is moving towards a retool so they won't be likely to add anyone. However they aren't likely to move anyone out either unless Marleau/Thorton feel like waiving their contracts.
In Calgary a move is unlikely unless we are clearing space to call up a forward or goalie who deserves it. It is unlikely any of the moves at the deadline have a huge effect on these teams records short of Ortio coming up(if he gets sent down) and going on a Kipper esque run.
So I think San Jose is most likely to drop out of the 3 I didn't bother looking at Vancouver cause i think they will make it what do you guys think?
Edit: Also i don't think Glencross will be moved so i didn't consider that but if he is we have probably slipped in the standings already so this discussion would be moot
Last edited by YogiBerra; 01-21-2015 at 06:02 PM.
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