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Old 01-20-2015, 11:47 AM   #49
Enoch Root
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Join Date: May 2012
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist View Post
The exception doesn't prove the validity of possession.

There will always be exceptions.

Here are some facts:

-Elite teams are ALWAYS in the top for corsi%.
-Teams in the top 5 in corsi% almost always make the playoffs and teams in the bottom 5 rarely do

There's a very strong correlation. That doesn't mean that poor corsi teams can't make the playoffs not does it mean that good corsi teams will. We're speaking about probabilities here, not absolutes.

Is a 90 year old smoker an indictment of the belief that smoking can kill you?
Easy now, those aren't even remotely similar.

Statistical fact: smoking significantly increases the likelihood of many diseases and significantly reduces life expectancy (causal)

Corsi correlates to possession, which correlates to winning (and the correlations aren't that strong)

The Flames are not the outlier in an otherwise statistical fact, they are a team that typically has more success when they are outshot than when they outshoot. That is all we know here.

Last edited by Enoch Root; 01-20-2015 at 11:50 AM.
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