Quote:
Originally Posted by killer_carlson
Given Trudeau's complete lack of interest in talking about the economy, the longer he waits to read what the brains of the Liberals have written out for him (in small words) the more likely it will come across as lacking credibility and not being thought out.
Is Trudeau falling into the Ignatief trap of filling his inner circle with yes-men/women and not adjusting to the economy?
Or are people so focused on filling up the gas tank this week and saving a few bucks that they won't notice growing job losses because of the price of oil?
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Haha, this is amusing. So now its somehow Trudeau that has to answer for why the budget won't be balanced and we're going to see job losses and a decline in our budgetary situation? What about the guys in power spending money on ridiculous tax credits and breaks instead of taking meaningful action on the debt? Instead of useful tax breaks across the board they're building prisons and squandering money on fighter planes (that everyone told them wouldn't work years ago!), yet you're wondering about the inaction of the Liberals. Astounding really.
Anyway, a spring election seems a formality a this point and I will go out on a limb and make a few really early predictions:
The CPC wins, maybe a minority, but they win. The NDP finishes second and remains official opposition, and the Liberals wind up in third with more seats, but not enough to take the official opposition status never mind government.
For the first time since 1968 the Liberals do win a seat in Calgary, where Kent Hehr wins a close race against Joan Crockatt. I don't think he wins easily, but I do think he wins. Crockatt is basically filling the Rob Anders position at this point, and while a lot of people might lose their passports, they can probably get by without her. That and Hehr is widely respected and galvanizing a lot of supporters from all of the parties.
The reason I think that the Liberals make gains but not as much as people might expect after the last 18 months of positive polling for them is simply vote distribution. Between that issue, where they have concentration in some spots and nothing in others, and the fact that there are basically three strong parties heading into this election, it makes winning a majority almost impossible for any party. It also will make the gains for the Liberals somewhat muted, at least in my non-professional, purely crystal ball reading opinion.