Quote:
Originally Posted by Resolute 14
The argument that teams will inevitably regress to the mean is not a literal statement. What it says is that people who track the stat believe teams will regress toward the mean. ......
Likewise, people on both sides - depending on their belief or desire to dismiss the stat - take the "luck" comment far too literally.
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Hence my point B. If regress to the mean doesn't mean regress
to the mean then use different words. Toward the mean gives a much better picture.
If luck doesn't literally mean luck then stop saying it and find a better way to express it.
Note these comments are not directed specifically at you, but almost every advanced stat discussion involves these exact terms.