Quote:
Originally Posted by GranteedEV
As much as I agree actual standings matter a lot more than some dumbass who doesn't watch the games, I still have to put an astetisk there because it doesn't factor in strength of schedule. It's genuinely harder to win games in some divisions. You've gotta have a correction factor for that.
|
I like this site which attempts to give a weighted prediction.
Quote:
|
It knows the season schedule and scores for past games. As games are played it grabs the new scores from the internet (or gets scores sent in from fans) and simulates the rest of the season by randomly picking scores for each remaining game. The weighted method takes the opponents record and home field advantage into account when randomly picking scores, so the better team is more likely to win.
|
The standings show that Colorado is only 6 points out of the playoffs with 2/3 of the season yet to play, but this shows that their chances are only at 4.8% to make it.
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Western.html