Quote:
Originally Posted by united
I've read and heard that advanced stats say the Oilers are good but I don't see it. Where is this stuff coming from?
Score-adjusted shot attempts %: 22nd (11th in West)
Even-strength goal %: 29th (14th West)
Even-strength save %: 30th (14th West)
Even-strength shot %: 26th (13th West)
As others have said, everyone except the most extremist "advanced" stats advocates recognizes PDO isn't equal and good teams will have a higher PDO than baseline and bad teams will have a lower PDO than baseline.
I think in the Oilers' case their goaltending is right where you would expect them at, hovering at .900 (even strength). Their shooting will probably increase a bit; 6.7% is low for their talent in my opinion. However, even if you assumed they shot with league average accuracy they still only gain 5 goals this season so far, bringing their goal different to 47%. Good for a rise to 24th overall (13th West). Still terrible.
The Oilers suck by all metrics available conventional or "advanced".
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I've been wondering the same. The only metric they're bad but not awful is 5v5 Corsi for%, but that ignores score effect