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united · 12-05-2014, 12:55 AM

I've read and heard that advanced stats say the Oilers are good but I don't see it. Where is this stuff coming from?

Score-adjusted shot attempts %: 22nd (11th in West)
Even-strength goal %: 29th (14th West)
Even-strength save %: 30th (14th West)
Even-strength shot %: 26th (13th West)

As others have said, everyone except the most extremist "advanced" stats advocates recognizes PDO isn't equal and good teams will have a higher PDO than baseline and bad teams will have a lower PDO than baseline.

I think in the Oilers' case their goaltending is right where you would expect them at, hovering at .900 (even strength). Their shooting will probably increase a bit; 6.7% is low for their talent in my opinion. However, even if you assumed they shot with league average accuracy they still gain only 5 goals this season so far, bringing their goal different to 47%. Good for a rise to 24th overall (13th West). Still terrible.

The Oilers suck by all metrics available, conventional or "advanced".

12-05-2014, 12:55 AM	#85
united #1 Goaltender Join Date: Mar 2007 Exp:	I've read and heard that advanced stats say the Oilers are good but I don't see it. Where is this stuff coming from? Score-adjusted shot attempts %: 22nd (11th in West) Even-strength goal %: 29th (14th West) Even-strength save %: 30th (14th West) Even-strength shot %: 26th (13th West) As others have said, everyone except the most extremist "advanced" stats advocates recognizes PDO isn't equal and good teams will have a higher PDO than baseline and bad teams will have a lower PDO than baseline. I think in the Oilers' case their goaltending is right where you would expect them at, hovering at .900 (even strength). Their shooting will probably increase a bit; 6.7% is low for their talent in my opinion. However, even if you assumed they shot with league average accuracy they still gain only 5 goals this season so far, bringing their goal different to 47%. Good for a rise to 24th overall (13th West). Still terrible. The Oilers suck by all metrics available, conventional or "advanced". __________________ "I think the eye test is still good, but analytics can sure give you confirmation: what you see...is that what you really believe?" Scotty Bowman, 0 NHL games played Last edited by united; 12-05-2014 at 01:10 AM.