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SebC · 12-03-2014, 08:58 PM

I took the 2007-08 to 2011-12 data for 5-on-5 PDO, Corsi%, Fenwick% and plotted each season against the previous season.

Results:

Corsi: 59% persistence, R^2=0.38
Fenwick: 54% persistence, R^2=0.33
PDO: 23% persistence, R^2=0.05

So yeah, PDO is more a measure of luck than Corsi or Fenwick. But if it were purely a measure of luck, that 23% would be 0%.

12-03-2014, 08:58 PM	#61
SebC tromboner Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: where the lattes are Exp:	I took the 2007-08 to 2011-12 data for 5-on-5 PDO, Corsi%, Fenwick% and plotted each season against the previous season. Results: Corsi: 59% persistence, R^2=0.38 Fenwick: 54% persistence, R^2=0.33 PDO: 23% persistence, R^2=0.05 So yeah, PDO is more a measure of luck than Corsi or Fenwick. But if it were purely a measure of luck, that 23% would be 0%. __________________ "You can't swing a cat on the internet without hitting a goaltender apologist."