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Old 12-03-2014, 08:56 PM   #59
malcolmk14
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I created a normal distribution curve using PDO numbers for all NHL teams for the last six years and it came up with the following results:

Mean: 100.01
Standard Deviation: 1.234

Within 1 standard deviation of the mean (68.27% of teams will fall within this range):

98.776 - 101.244

Within 2 standard deviations of the mean (95.45% of teams will fall in this range):

97.542 - 102.478

Within 3 standard deviations of the mean (99.73% of teams will fall in this range):

96.307 - 103.713


The Oilers are outside 3 standard deviations from the mean at 96.1. This means they are either historically bad (bottom ~0.08% of teams), or they are unlucky.

The Flames are just outside 2 standard deviations from the mean at 102.9. This means they are either historically good (top ~1% of teams), or they are getting lucky.

Last edited by malcolmk14; 12-03-2014 at 09:11 PM.
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