I created a normal distribution curve using PDO numbers for all NHL teams for the last six years and it came up with the following results:
Mean: 100.01
Standard Deviation: 1.234
Within 1 standard deviation of the mean (68.27% of teams will fall within this range):
98.776 - 101.244
Within 2 standard deviations of the mean (95.45% of teams will fall in this range):
97.542 - 102.478
Within 3 standard deviations of the mean (99.73% of teams will fall in this range):
96.307 - 103.713
The Oilers are outside 3 standard deviations from the mean at 96.1. This means they are either historically bad (bottom ~0.08% of teams), or they are unlucky.
The Flames are just outside 2 standard deviations from the mean at 102.9. This means they are either historically good (top ~1% of teams), or they are getting lucky.
Last edited by malcolmk14; 12-03-2014 at 09:11 PM.
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