Quote:
Originally Posted by PeteMoss
Bottom line for the Flames - someone needs to determine what their baseline shooting percentage is.
It is very high right now. It will come down in all likelihood. But how far will it come down. Since Hartley has been the Flames coach - they have a top half shooting percentage each year. Based on that I would expect the Flames to end up high... I wouldn't expect to see an ultra drop off.
Also worth noting - the Flames don't have the highest shooting percentage in the league. They are behind Tampa. And there are four teams above 11% right now - Tampa, Calgary, Pittsburgh and Toronto. Its not like they are some crazy outlier.
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This is an interesting point.
It is important to keep in mind that offense ebbs and flows, that the game constantly changes, and that there is an ongoing tug of war between offense and defense - one will get the upper hand in some way and then the other will adjust.
So the question should be asked: is it simply the case that shooting percentages are unusually high this year for some teams? A random event that will normalize at some point?
Or is something else going on? Are offenses starting to discover a new way to be successful? Is there a new offensive trend that creates more quality chances relative to total shots taken?
The 4 teams listed above are all fast skating teams that generate a large amount of their offense off the rush. Does that result in a higher goals/shots ratio? Are these teams adapting in a way that affects their shooting percentages?
I think it is at least a possibility and a question that needs to be asked.