Quote:
Originally Posted by Phil Russell
I asked this in another thread last week but never saw/may have missed an answer. Has anyone ever actually tested these advanced stats? Has a causal relationship been established between Corsi etc. and winning? Or, is everyone just assuming that Corsi etc. are measures of winning?
The San Jose game was the kicker for me. A 2-0 dominating win by Calgary. San Jose never dominating the play at any point in the game. And yet, San Jose won the advanced stats game. My guess is that advanced stats don't measure team success, or at the very least that there is a lot more to team success than can be measured by advanced stats. Again, however, this is something that a stats pro could test.
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They have been compared with real results ad nauseum and they do correlate with success.
We need to stop calling them "advanced stats". They're not advanced, they're just stats. In fact, corsi is actually simpler than the shots at use now. Corsi measures all picks fired towards the net. SOG measures only those spots that the goalie saves or goes in.
Do we question shots on goal? Faceoffs? Powerplay? Do they correlate with success?