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Originally Posted by Calgary4LIfe
What I would be more interested in is scoring chances. Flames have indeed been outplayed in some games and won, but they have also outplayed other teams and lost.
Didn't Kent Wilson used to track scoring chances for and against? I would much rather see those numbers. I bet they correlate better with the 'eye test'.
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Flames nation still does, Ryan Pike just had a good article today there looking at how scoring chances occur. He has starting tracking zone entries, looking at how the puck entered the offensive zone during the game (either carry-in or dump). He has found a trend that:
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Calgary converts carry-ins to scoring chances at a rate of about 27.1%, while dump-ins convert at about 8.1% - indicating that carrying in the puck is more than THREE TIMES more likely to result in a scoring chance than a dump-in.
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That's over a data size of
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Over the first 25 games of the 2014-15 season, the Calgary Flames have generated 359 even-strength scoring chances. (For the curious, that's about 14 chances per game.)
Well, most of their entries are dump-ins - 1,296 even-strength dump-ins versus 800 even-strength carries.
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It's data like this which Burke talks about when he says we do lots of in-house analytics to help get a larger picture of how goals occur and who is being successful in scoring for the Flames. Not just straight up counting stats, but using stats to find trends in how goals occur, what is successful.
Here's the whole article, it's a good read:
http://flamesnation.ca/2014/12/1/whe...nces-come-from