Quote:
Originally Posted by PsYcNeT
Sorry I should have been more clear.
My main gripe is with PDO, because of how unreliable shot tracking is.
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PDO is good if you change the regression from PDO regresses to 1 to PDO regresses to a range of .99 to 1.01 and each year there will be teams at around 1.02.
The flames 1.025 is unlikely to be sustained over the course of a season and certainly won't be sustained year over year. Just go through the old PDO numbers and you find usually there is 1 team in the 1.02 range at the end of the season. Occasionally there is an outlier at the 1.025 but that team doesn't repeat that performance.
So you don't actually need to measure shot quality to make the statement that the flames 11.2% shooting is unsustainable. Now it might be if you believe that this flames team is historically good and generating shot quality.