I think I've read that, in the end, the A-Bomb's did not force Japan's surrender, the Emperor's capitulation did. Supposedly, without that, the Japanese would have all fought to the end. I assume the A-Bomb helpd the Emperor along in that decision, but I'm not sure that the firebombing wouldn't have done the same thing over another month or two. The devastation would have been even worse than the A-Bombs.
But obviously history is done, kind of hard to surmise what would have/could have happened at this point.
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