Not sure why people are defensive about these stats and the conclusion that the Flames will likely regress. This is a good test to see if there is any validity to the predictive power of the stats. Fair to question whether Fenwick or Corsi is a better proxy for possession, but ultimately, these would have value if it is a better predictor of future success, than current W-L.
What worries me about this discussion, is that many are sounding much like Leafs fans did last year. "Sure the stats are bad, but that is because our system creates high grade shots", or "Our goalies can sustain the save percentage, because our defensive system allows more low grade shots". Neither of those held out, and the stats argument proved correct. Same thing happened a few years prior with the Minny starting strong.
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From HFBoard oiler fan, in analyzing MacT's management:
O.K. there has been a lot of talk on whether or not MacTavish has actually done a good job for us, most fans on this board are very basic in their analysis and I feel would change their opinion entirely if the team was successful.
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