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Old 11-19-2014, 03:50 PM   #252
Frequitude
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Regorium View Post
This is untrue. It has been proven that more shots lead to more goals, whereas more shots does not correlate well to a lower shooting percentage.

Here's the data for 2013. http://www.sportingcharts.com/nhl/st...rcentage/2013/

If you plot shots vs. shot%, and shots vs. goals, you'll find that the latter has a much stronger correlation than the former.

This is one thing that's great about statistics. What you said is very reasonable and intuitive, but is not backed up by the numbers.
Just ran the number for everything since the lockout and you are correct.

Correlation(Shots, Goals) = 0.84
Correlation(Shots, Shooting %) = -0.01

The former is obvious. The latter is surprising to me. There is virtually zero correlation between shots and shooting %.
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