Quote:
Originally Posted by Regorium
This is untrue. It has been proven that more shots lead to more goals, whereas more shots does not correlate well to a lower shooting percentage.
Here's the data for 2013. http://www.sportingcharts.com/nhl/st...rcentage/2013/
If you plot shots vs. shot%, and shots vs. goals, you'll find that the latter has a much stronger correlation than the former.
This is one thing that's great about statistics. What you said is very reasonable and intuitive, but is not backed up by the numbers.
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Just ran the number for everything since the lockout and you are correct.
Correlation(Shots, Goals) = 0.84
Correlation(Shots, Shooting %) = -0.01
The former is obvious. The latter is surprising to me. There is virtually zero correlation between shots and shooting %.