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Originally Posted by Aarongavey
So if I understand PDO correctly if a team saves a higher percentage of shots and scores on a higher percentage of shots they have a higher PDO? And it is surprising that the combination of these two things can indicate that a team is having success or lacking success?
I am assuming 100 percent of shots either get saved or go in the net. That means the average PDO would be 100 with a number of teams (on average 15) being above 100. There are usually 2-4 teams a year that are above 102, no reason the Flames cannot be one of those teams this year.
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You're right and wrong here. Yes a successful team will likely have a good PDO. After all, individually, sitting percentage and save percentage are measured of skill. However, if you use team shooting percentage, the variation between skillful team and poor team isn't much. Calgary is in uncharted territory here (outside of one lone exception: Toronto in a 48 game season). There's no reason to believe Calgary's shooters ate that Mich more talented than every other teams' in the last ten years (excluding one team in a shortened season).
Also, with the exception of last year, there are never ANY trans above 102 for PDO by seasons end. Without regression, this team would have the highest save%+shooting% in the last ten years except for Boston last year.
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For all the talk about the number of Flames above their career numbers in 5 on 5 shooting percentage, there are 10 Flames that are substantially below their career shooting average.
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Maybe, but we aren't talking about certain individuals. The average is waaaaay too high, so some of the current scorers are bound to have giant dropoffs.
Again, the only way the wins keep coming, is a) we keep on shooting the lights out better than treams with Crosby and Malkin or Perry and Getzlaf, or b) we start out shooting teams at even strength. That's something I think we've only done 3 times this year